Polypropylene Analysis, July 18.
Petrotahlil :
Local PP softens after almost a month-long firming in China
• Local homo-PP market edges down CNY50 on week
• Import homo-PP market chases a largely steady trend
• Lower futures, volatile crude oil weigh on sentiment
• Local polyolefin inventories slightly higher
• New capacities keep medium-term PP outlook bearish
• Import homo-PP raffia ($/ton)1030-1110 CIF
PP uptrend continues in SEA despite softer China
• ASEAN origin homo-PP raffia & inj. up $20 on week
• Mid-East origin homo-PP raffia & inj. flat on week
• China’s local PP market turns softer on futures
• Vietnam’s local PP market reaches 7-week high
• Eyes on fluctuating crude oil futures
• Import homo-PP raffia, inj. ($/ton): 1060-1160 CIF
PP prices hit lowest levels nearly in two years in Italy
• More July deals closed with €80 drops
• Buyers do some pre-buying on low prices
• Players wonder if PP prices might rebound soon
• August outlook is stable amidst lower spot C3 and rising energy
• September voices emerge firmer
• Local spot (€/ton): Homo-PP 1080-1180 | PPBC 1130-1230 FD
PP demand slightly revives in Europe on pre-buying
• July PP deals settled €80 down
• Demand seems revived on pre-buying activity
• Players expect downturn to finish soon on low PP prices
• August early expectations are stable
• Firmer naphtha may counterbalance lower spot C3
• Local spot (€/ton): Homo-PP 1140-1240 | PPBC 1190-1290 FD
Previous low ends fade, PP demand yet to respond in Turkey
• Firmer talks prevail among players
• Buyers, sellers move to the sidelines
• Turkey’s import market moves slightly above China
• Increases halted in China’s import market
• Fibre-raffia gap remains above $100 since March
• Local ($/ton): Raffia 1350-1420 inc VAT
• Import Saudi ($/ton): Raffia 1050-1080 | Fibre 1150-1180 CIF
Suppliers approach Mid-Eastern PP markets with rollovers to decreases
• Initial offers in line with expectations
• Buyers remain unresponsive to lower offers
• Players feel uncertain about upcoming trend
• Local PP in S. Arabia ($/ton): Raffia and inj. 1130-1150 FD
• Import PP in UAE ($/ton): Raffia and inj. 1100-1150 CIF
Egypt's local PP market sustains softening on poor activities
• July import deals largely unchanged
• Local prices down by EGP100-300
• Poor demand continues to pressure the market
• Lower crude oil futures, C3 costs weigh on sentiment
• Import PP ($/ton): Raffia and inj. 1080-1160 CIF
African PP markets remain on soft footing
• July offers steady to soft in N. Africa
• Initial offers in West, East Africa steady
• Weak demand prevails regional markets
• Import PP in Algeria ($/ton): Raffia and inj. 1130 CIF
• Import PP in Kenya ($/ton): Raffia 1120-1140 | Inj. 1120-1150 CFR
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